Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 17.022386 19.363205 22.014054 25.259991 29.157031 33.722892 39.532958
2025-08-17 13.725769 16.607489 20.151693 24.904016 31.223492 39.507715 51.484767
2025-08-24 11.894583 14.983071 18.995405 24.721709 32.912341 44.586255 63.240203
2025-08-31 10.444851 13.556407 17.768705 24.076642 33.636389 48.228503 73.625611
2025-09-07 9.449858 12.579449 16.968002 23.821476 34.758351 52.537202 86.104919
2025-09-14 8.416520 11.417870 15.739752 22.709546 34.289799 54.087020 94.067264
2025-09-21 7.540591 10.390149 14.584662 21.534053 33.484510 54.829962 100.611403
2025-09-28 6.929203 9.693431 13.850791 20.925085 33.518018 57.042935 110.794706
2025-10-05 7.115596 10.209020 15.032879 23.624752 39.868919 72.751914 157.277256
2025-10-12 6.904629 10.082411 15.165440 24.519379 43.000566 82.743324 194.833604
2025-10-19 6.423503 9.483915 14.458245 23.804613 42.804644 85.328460 213.112758
2025-10-26 6.231279 9.338226 14.499219 24.477223 45.582212 95.575288 260.467736
2025-11-02 5.862615 8.888162 14.000146 24.109148 46.183163 100.963251 296.546826
2025-11-09 5.529938 8.476190 13.535291 23.758832 46.784837 106.625101 338.362040
2025-11-16 5.256090 8.143941 13.182740 23.588176 47.770150 113.680426 392.114739
2025-11-23 4.948695 7.732338 12.650379 22.981121 47.596716 117.331990 434.227760
2025-11-30 4.716024 7.436715 12.309833 22.740931 48.298987 123.954784 498.546625
2025-12-07 4.402349 6.978613 11.629457 21.693705 46.757270 122.901426 520.125926
2025-12-14 4.104963 6.534716 10.948935 20.585621 44.904304 120.380018 531.754980
2025-12-21 3.892275 6.233246 10.524546 20.011161 44.410180 122.516504 576.825724
2025-12-28 4.041055 6.598744 11.427440 22.555720 53.071899 161.851762 966.746399
2026-01-04 3.992697 6.594281 11.591586 23.397772 57.062026 185.498769 1306.913851
2026-01-11 3.799055 6.304375 11.151877 22.725056 56.281295 188.163102 1430.658529